Activating the trap of the West and America

Keywords: Iran, America, West, Sanctions, Trigger Mechanism
Title: Activating the trap of the West and America
Category:politic
The trigger mechanism, or "snapback," is actually a 30-day period, the end of which will mean the return of United Nations sanctions and the full restoration of six Security Council resolutions against Iran. This mechanism is part of the 2015 JCPOA nuclear agreement, which was approved by the UN Security Council.
According to the provisions of the (JCPOA), if Iran fundamentally violates its nuclear commitments, member states can activate the process of reimposing sanctions without the need for consensus in the Security Council. In this process, even Russia and China, as veto-wielding members, cannot prevent the reimposition of sanctions. Security Council resolutions passed between 2006 and 2010 established the toughest international restrictions on Iran. These included a ban on uranium enrichment, financial and banking restrictions, an embargo on the sale of sensitive equipment, and even a ban on Iranian investment in nuclear and missile technologies abroad.
Resolution 1696 (2006): Calls for an immediate halt to uranium enrichment.
Resolution 1737 (2006): Imposes first financial sanctions and restrictions on the sale of sensitive equipment.
Resolution 1747 (2007): Tightens restrictions on international cooperation with Iran.
Resolution 1803: Expands financial restrictions and supervision of Iranian banks.
Resolution 1835: Reiterates the need for an immediate halt to enrichment.
Resolution 1929 (2010): The heaviest sanctions, including a ban on Iranian investment in the nuclear fuel cycle and missile technology.
These resolutions collectively directly and indirectly affected the Iranian economy and, even in the long term, caused market instability and severe fluctuations.
In an interview with (Ham Mihan), financial markets expert Mohammad Khaberzad explained the consequences of the possible activation of the trigger mechanism:
Pessimistic scenario: A serious return of sanctions could paralyze foreign trade, foreign exchange earnings, and key sectors of Iran’s economy, creating a chain of domestic crises.
A more balanced scenario: Given that most of the sanctions were previously imposed by the US and Europe, it may not make much difference, but the cost of transactions for Iran will increase in any case.
He emphasized that in both scenarios, one thing is certain: rising inflationary expectations. This issue has a direct relationship with the dollar rate, and as oil exports decline, the speed of the exchange rate jump and its effects on coins and gold will increase.
Currency and Gold Market: As news about the trigger mechanism intensifies, the dollar rate has reached a new peak and the coin and gold markets have set historical records. The heavy influx of liquidity into gold funds shows that a large portion of people are seeking to hedge risk and preserve the value of their assets.
Stock Market: The Tehran Stock Exchange has been at its historic lows in recent months, assuming the trigger mechanism is implemented. The indices have fallen, but according to experts, with the stabilization of high dollar rates, the stock exchange can be expected to move up again sooner or later, although its path will be accompanied by serious challenges.
Nabaviyan, a member of the National Security Commission of the Parliament, wrote in response to the activation of Snapback: "The enemy's main goal is the surrender and disintegration of Iran. The United States and three European countries illegally reimposed sanctions against our country today, although for years they have shown their hostility and hatred towards the Iranian nation by expressing sanctions and war. Their main goal is the surrender and disintegration of Iran, and the only way to confront them is to stand firm and become strong."
Media activist Ali Rafsanjani wrote in an article about confronting the implementation of the trigger mechanism by Western countries: "The activation of the "trigger mechanism" and the return of UN sanctions against our country in a situation where economic pressure has exposed families to numerous challenges is a sensitive but manageable issue."
Ultimately, the insidious move by the West and the US to activate the “snapback” trap before the end of the JCPOA is a serious test for the 14th government in its smart management and national resilience, not an uncontrollable crisis. It seems that the government can overcome this difficult stage with transparency, practical action, and of course, identifying and decisively dealing with profit-seeking and inefficient circles.

Translator:Fatemeh Abbaszadeh